during their game played at FedEx Field in Landover, Maryland, Sunday, November 15, 2009. (Harry E. Walker/MCT)
I took some time over my busy weekend to see if I could come up with some questions that are most concerning to fantasy owners. I threw these at my boss Craig Davis to see what he could come up with. 1. We hear so many “experts” give their picks on who is the guy everyone should take. What player are you trying to avoid at all costs this year and why?
I’m not sure there is a player in fantasy football that I would “avoid at all costs,” because most starters and backups are going to get some numbers. The question should have been worded, “Which player would you avoid at all costs according to his ADP (average draft position)?” I wrote an article last week explaining the reasons I wouldn’t draft Knowshon Moreno, but please keep in mind, if he were available in the 8th round, I’d be a fool not to draft him. But for purposes of this report, I’m going to stick with Moreno. His ADP is simply too high, as we’ve seen him going at the end of third round of most drafts. As I stated in my article, he’s got one year under his belt and the best thing he’s proven is the fact he has lingering knee and ankle problems. Sorry, I’ll pass.
2. The big question on everyone’s minds is the status of unsigned restricted free agent WR Vincent Jackson. There appears to be no chance that he ends up playing for the team after his three-game suspension. We have heard everything from him missing the first 10 games to completely missing the season. For redraft owners, is it even worth taking a late-round flyer on Jackson in the hopes that he plays this year? For dynasty owners; where does Jackson play past this year? Are his bridges completely burned in San Diego?
I’ll answer the last question first because it’s the easiest. No, bridges aren’t burnt. Why would they be? This crap happens more than my wife cries when she watches “The Notebook.” If things can get worked out, they will. If not, they won’t. It’s pretty simple.
As far as taking a flier on Jackson, heck yeah I would, especially in deeper drafts. If I’m sitting in the 18th round and I already have five WRs, it would be insane not to at least roster him. Jackson has WR1 talent, and being able to draft him in the 18th round of a 20-round draft just makes sense. He might not play a snap in 2010, but in reality, what have you really lost by drafting him? As for playing beyond this year, it’s too early to say. As far as I’m concerned, he’s still a Charger until someone else signs him. No matter where he goes, he’s still young enough to be a talented WR on any roster.
3. The Texans have been raving about Arian Foster, who has held the No. 1 running back spot throughout the preseason and in training camp. He was good, but not great, in 2009, and we all know what Gary Kubiak did to his backfield last year. If Foster ends up starting Week One, what can we expect from him? Will he even be able to hold the job all year? Or will Steve Slaton, rookie Ben Tate or (shudder) Chris Henry be the starter by midseason?
Obviously, the news on Ben Tate’s ankle changes this question tremendously, as there are only two legitimate candidates for the starting job: Foster and Slaton. If the season were to start today, Foster would be the starter and Slaton would be used primarily on passing downs and occasionally in the slot. I personally still believe Slaton is more talented, but his fumbling problems from a year ago will cause him to stay down on the depth chart. In PPR leagues, these two are going to be very similar in fantasy value. In non-PPR leagues, Foster is probably the logical selection.
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